World Cup 2026 Predictions, 27 June — The Last Day of the Group Stage

Updated July 2026
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The group stage signs off on Saturday, 27 June, with Groups J, K and L decided across six fixtures. Argentina and Colombia have already qualified; the open questions are the Group K winner (Colombia vs Portugal), second place in Group J (Austria vs Algeria), and which two of England, Ghana and Croatia survive Group L. This page lists every fixture with its Irish kick-off time, the latest fractional odds and a neutral assessment for punters.

Match-day graphic showing six World Cup 2026 group-stage fixtures for 27 June
Six fixtures across Groups J, K and L close the group stage on 27 June. (Illustrative image.)

Contents

  • All six fixtures kick off in the late-night IST window: 10:00 pm (Group L), 12:30 am and 3:00 am (Groups K and J).
  • England (1/5) and Argentina (1/6) are the heaviest favourites of the day; both have already secured passage.
  • Colombia vs Portugal is the standout, with Portugal marginally favoured (23/20) to win the group despite Colombia’s perfect record.
  • “Assessment” reflects price vs probability only — Short, Fair, Value or Long — and is not a tip to stake.

1. How to read this page {#how-to-read}

Odds are fractional (Irish primary), with the decimal in brackets, sourced from the OddsPortal 1X2 six-book aggregate as of 27 June. The Assessment column is the site’s standard Fair / Value / Short / Long read — a neutral judgement on whether the price looks fair for the implied probability, not a recommendation to bet. Kick-off times are converted to Irish Standard Time (IST = ET + 5h).

2. Saturday’s fixtures at a glance {#fixtures-glance}

Kick-off (IST) Match Group Venue
10:00 pm Panama vs England L MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford
10:00 pm Croatia vs Ghana L Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia
12:30 am (Sun) Colombia vs Portugal K Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens
12:30 am (Sun) DR Congo vs Uzbekistan K Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
3:00 am (Sun) Algeria vs Austria J Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
3:00 am (Sun) Jordan vs Argentina J AT&T Stadium, Arlington

3. Group L deciders {#group-l}

3.1 Panama vs England {#panama-england}

England top Group L (four points, +2) and need only avoid defeat to be sure of the top two. Opta models give England a 78.5% win probability and 84.1% to win the group; Panama, already eliminated, sit at 8.9%. England’s expected-goals output of 6.72 across two games (41 shots) dwarfs Panama’s 1.86 xG and zero goals scored. Reece James is out with a hamstring issue and Bukayo Saka is doubtful (achilles management), but Declan Rice and Elliot Anderson are fit.

Selection Fractional Decimal Assessment
England 1/5 1.20 Short
Draw 8/1 9.10 Long
Panama 35/2 18.50 Long

A dedicated Panama vs England preview covers the team news and group permutations in full.

3.2 Croatia vs Ghana {#croatia-ghana}

A genuine winner-take-all. Ghana (four points, +1) go through with a win or draw; Croatia (three points, −1) must win to advance automatically and otherwise rely on the best-third ranking. Neither defence has convinced — Croatia concede roughly 1.83 goals per game, Ghana 1.67 — and the sides have never met before. Joško Gvardiol returns for Croatia; Ghana’s goalkeeper Lawrence Ati-Zigi is a groin doubt.

Selection Fractional Decimal Assessment
Croatia Evens 2.00 Fair
Draw 9/4 3.27 Fair
Ghana 17/4 5.26 Value

4. Group K deciders {#group-k}

4.1 Colombia vs Portugal {#colombia-portugal}

The pick of the day. Both are through; the match decides the winner and seeding. Colombia (six points, +3) top the group, but Portugal (four points, +5) are marginally favoured here — Opta gives Portugal 51.6%, Colombia 23.9%, the draw 25.2% (a draw is enough for Colombia to finish first). Ronaldo’s side thrashed Uzbekistan 5-0 last time; Colombia edged DR Congo 1-0. Portugal’s squad is fit bar a Thomas Araújo doubt.

Selection Fractional Decimal Assessment
Colombia 13/5 3.60 Fair
Draw 3/1 3.96 Fair
Portugal 23/20 2.15 Short

4.2 DR Congo vs Uzbekistan {#drcongo-uzbekistan}

A dead rubber for the top two, but DR Congo (one point, −1) can still reach best-third contention with a win. Uzbekistan (no points, −7) are eliminated and would need a heavy victory simply to dent that goal difference. DR Congo are favoured at 7/10.

Selection Fractional Decimal Assessment
DR Congo 7/10 1.70 Short
Draw 10/3 4.30 Fair
Uzbekistan 5/1 5.95 Long

5. Group J deciders {#group-j}

5.1 Algeria vs Austria {#algeria-austria}

A straight duel for second behind Argentina. Austria (three points, level GD) advance with a win or a draw on the better goal difference; Algeria (three points, −2) must win. The market just favours the draw at 11/8, with Austria (2/1) preferred to Algeria (10/3) on the win.

Selection Fractional Decimal Assessment
Algeria 10/3 4.28 Fair
Draw 11/8 2.35 Fair
Austria 2/1 3.07 Value

5.2 Jordan vs Argentina {#jordan-argentina}

Argentina (six points, +5) have already won the group; Jordan are out. Lionel Messi has scored all five of Argentina’s goals so far, but Scaloni is expected to rotate, with Messi reportedly set to start on the bench and Cristian Romero unavailable. Even rotated, Argentina are 1/6 favourites.

Selection Fractional Decimal Assessment
Jordan 21/1 22.00 Long
Draw 9/1 9.95 Long
Argentina 1/6 1.18 Short

6. Predictions summary table {#summary}

Match Favourite (fractional) Most likely outcome Assessment of the price
Panama vs England England 1/5 England win, group secured Short — value elsewhere
Croatia vs Ghana Croatia Evens Tight; Ghana through on a draw Ghana 17/4 looks Value
Colombia vs Portugal Portugal 23/20 Portugal edge the group Short favourite, Fair draw
DR Congo vs Uzbekistan DR Congo 7/10 DR Congo win Short
Algeria vs Austria Draw 11/8 Austria progress Austria 2/1 Value on the win
Jordan vs Argentina Argentina 1/6 Rotated Argentina win Short
Responsible-betting note. Assessments compare the quoted price to the implied probability and are for information only — they are not staking advice. Odds are from the OddsPortal six-book aggregate (27 June) and move quickly; confirm the live price with your bookmaker. 18+. Gamble responsibly — support is available at GamblingCare.ie.

7. Frequently asked questions {#faq}

What time do the 27 June World Cup matches start in Ireland?
Panama vs England and Croatia vs Ghana kick off at 10:00 pm IST; Colombia vs Portugal and DR Congo vs Uzbekistan at 12:30 am IST (Sunday); Algeria vs Austria and Jordan vs Argentina at 3:00 am IST (Sunday).
Which Group L teams can still qualify?
England and Ghana lead Group L on four points; Croatia (three points) must beat Ghana to go up automatically. England are all but through, while the runner-up and a possible best-third place are decided on the night.
Is Colombia vs Portugal a must-win for either side?
No — both have already qualified. The match decides the Group K winner and seeding. A win or draw makes Colombia first; Portugal must win to top the group.
Will Messi play against Jordan?
Argentina have already won Group J and are expected to rotate. Reports suggest Messi will start on the bench, with Cristian Romero unavailable; Argentina remain heavy favourites regardless.

Sources (27 June 2026): OddsPortal 1X2 aggregate (decimal, converted to fractional); Opta Analyst, Sports Mole and ESPN previews. Kick-off times converted to IST (ET + 5h). Odds for information only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Related: World Cup 2026 Betting Guide · Bet types explained · World Cup 2026 Schedule (Ireland)