World Cup 2026 Round of 16 — Fixtures, Odds and Preview

Updated July 2026
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The last 16 of the 2026 World Cup begins on Saturday, 4 July and runs to Tuesday, 7 July, two ties a day. Six of the eight pairings are already confirmed; the final two are settled by the last Round of 32 matches on 3 July. This reference page lists every tie with its Irish kick-off time, venue and fractional odds, flags the heat-affected fixtures, and sets out the storylines — an all-Iberian tie, England at the Azteca and Kylian Mbappé chasing an all-time record — for Irish viewers.

Knockout bracket concept fanning out on a dark background with stadium lighting
The Round of 16 runs 4–7 July, two ties per day; six of eight pairings were confirmed before the round began. (Illustrative image.)

Contents

  • The Round of 16 runs 4–7 July, two ties per day; the winners reach the quarter-finals from 8 July.
  • Spain v Portugal (6 July) is the standout — an all-Iberian tie between the tournament’s only side yet to concede and Ronaldo’s Portugal.
  • France (2/9 to beat Paraguay) and Colombia’s conquerors-in-waiting aside, the shortest single price is France; Mexico v England is rated a near coin-flip.
  • Paraguay v France (Philadelphia, 4 July) falls under an official Extreme Heat Warning, with cooling breaks likely.

1. Round of 16 at a glance {#glance}

This is the first World Cup with a 48-team field, so a Round of 32 preceded the last 16. The eight Round of 16 winners advance to the quarter-finals. Kick-off times below are converted to Irish Standard Time (IST = ET + 5h); most ties fall between 5:00 pm and 1:00 am IST.

Tie Date Kick-off (IST) Venue
M89 — Canada vs Morocco Sat 4 Jul 6:00 pm NRG Stadium, Houston
M90 — Paraguay vs France Sat 4 Jul 10:00 pm Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia
M91 — Brazil vs Norway Sun 5 Jul 9:00 pm MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford
M92 — Mexico vs England Mon 6 Jul (1:00 am) 1:00 am Estadio Azteca, Mexico City
M93 — Spain vs Portugal Mon 6 Jul 8:00 pm AT&T Stadium, Arlington
M94 — USA vs Belgium Tue 7 Jul (1:00 am) 1:00 am Lumen Field, Seattle
M95 — Aus/Egy winner vs Arg/CPV winner Tue 7 Jul 5:00 pm Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
M96 — Switzerland vs Col/Gha winner Tue 7 Jul 9:00 pm BC Place, Vancouver

Mexico vs England kicks off 8:00 pm ET on 5 July, which is 1:00 am IST in the early hours of 6 July; USA vs Belgium is 8:00 pm ET on 6 July, 1:00 am IST on 7 July.

2. Confirmed ties and odds {#ties}

2.1 Saturday 4 July {#july-4}

Canada vs Morocco (M89) opens the round in Houston. Morocco arrive on a four-match unbeaten run after knocking out the Netherlands on penalties and have never lost to Canada (four meetings). Alphonso Davies returns for the co-hosts. Paraguay vs France (M90) in Philadelphia pits the tournament’s heaviest scorers, France, against the giant-killers who eliminated Germany on penalties. It revives their 1998 meeting, settled by a France golden goal.

2.2 Sunday 5 July {#july-5}

Brazil vs Norway (M91) at MetLife is the pick of the day: Brazil edged Japan 2-1 with a 95th-minute Martinelli winner, while Erling Haaland’s Norway saw off Ivory Coast. Mexico vs England (M92) takes England to the Estadio Azteca, where the co-hosts have never lost a World Cup match; the ~2,240 m altitude is the defining factor (see storylines).

2.3 Monday 6 July {#july-6}

Spain vs Portugal (M93) in Arlington is the tie of the round — Spain have not conceded all tournament, Portugal carry Ronaldo’s late-career form. USA vs Belgium (M94) in Seattle is rated a near coin-flip; the co-hosts are without the suspended Folarin Balogun.

2.4 Tuesday 7 July {#july-7}

The two ties settled on 3 July complete the round: M95 in Atlanta pairs the Australia/Egypt winner with the Argentina/Cape Verde winner, and M96 in Vancouver sends Switzerland against the Colombia/Ghana winner. Both are tracked on the 3 July predictions page.

3. Odds board {#odds}

Fractional (Irish primary), decimal in brackets, from a screen-verified 1X2 aggregate as of 3 July. "1" is the first-named team to win in 90 minutes; "X" is level after 90 minutes (tie goes to extra time and penalties).

Tie Team 1 Draw (90) Team 2
Canada vs Morocco 21/5 (5.20) 13/5 (3.60) 5/6 (1.83)
Paraguay vs France 35/2 (18.50) 13/2 (7.50) 2/9 (1.22)
Brazil vs Norway 19/20 (1.95) 29/10 (3.90) 16/5 (4.20)
Mexico vs England 9/4 (3.25) 9/4 (3.25) 3/2 (2.47)
Spain vs Portugal 19/20 (1.95) 27/10 (3.70) 16/5 (4.20)
USA vs Belgium 7/4 (2.72) 5/2 (3.50) 7/4 (2.77)

France (2/9) are the shortest price of any side in the round; Spain (19/20 vs Portugal) and Brazil (19/20 vs Norway) are narrow favourites in tighter ties. Mexico vs England and USA vs Belgium are the two closest on the board. For the tournament-winner market, see our outright winner odds.

4. Storylines to watch {#storylines}

The full Golden Boot picture is on our World Cup 2026 Golden Boot race page, and the marquee England tie in our Mexico vs England preview.

5. Heat and venue notes {#heat}

A record heat wave sits over central and eastern North America through 4 July. The standout risk is Paraguay vs France at Lincoln Financial Field (Philadelphia, 4 July), under an official National Weather Service Extreme Heat Warning covering kick-off — a high near 38°C (101°F) and a heat index up to about 41°C (105°F), with cooling breaks and hydration protocols likely. The Houston (NRG) tie can be played under a closed roof with air conditioning. By 5 July the heat eases at MetLife, while the Azteca stays mild at altitude — its risk is a wet-season thunderstorm delay, not heat.

Kick-off-hour humidity was not published as a discrete figure for these venues, and forecasts were pulled on 3 July — conditions should be re-checked on matchday. Retractable-roof venues (Houston) can neutralise heat if closed.

6. Irish viewing guide {#irish-viewing}

Every match is free-to-air in Ireland, shared between RTÉ and Virgin Media, with RTÉ-broadcast games also streamed on the RTÉ Player. The Round of 16 schedule suits Irish viewers: the 6:00 pm to 10:00 pm IST slots cover the marquee ties, with the two North-American-hosted late games (Mexico v England, USA v Belgium) kicking off at 1:00 am IST. England’s tie with Mexico carries the usual cross-channel following even with the Republic absent.

7. Frequently asked questions {#faq}

When does the World Cup 2026 Round of 16 start?
It begins on Saturday, 4 July with Canada vs Morocco (6:00 pm IST) and Paraguay vs France (10:00 pm IST), and runs to Tuesday, 7 July, two ties per day.
What is the biggest Round of 16 tie?
Spain vs Portugal on 6 July is the standout — an all-Iberian tie between the only side yet to concede (Spain) and Ronaldo’s Portugal. USA vs Belgium and Mexico vs England are the closest on the odds.
Which Round of 16 tie is affected by the heat?
Paraguay vs France in Philadelphia (4 July) falls under an official Extreme Heat Warning, with a heat index up to about 41°C (105°F) at kick-off. Cooling breaks are likely.
Can Irish viewers watch every Round of 16 match?
Yes. The tournament is free-to-air via RTÉ and Virgin Media, with RTÉ matches also live on the RTÉ Player.

Sources (3 July 2026): fixtures and bracket (Yahoo Sports, CBS Sports, NBC Sports, FIFA); odds (screen-verified 1X2 aggregate, converted to fractional); weather (NWS Mount Holly, NWS Houston, easeweather/AccuWeather); Tuchel quote (Sky Sports); RTÉ/Virgin Media coverage per RTÉ. Kick-off times converted to IST (ET + 5h). Odds for information only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Related: World Cup 2026 Groups · World Cup 2026 Schedule (Ireland) · World Cup 2026 Odds